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Monday, 21 September 2020

Forecast: Monsoon likely to return this week: Heavy rains in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh



This was preceded by a low-pressure area on September 13 and a low-pressure area on August 1 five times, twice in July, and a low-pressure area except for a natural hurricane in June.

Became a low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal, winds will blow from western Rajasthan

7 days late from the scheduled date of the new calendar, the country has received 7% more rainfall so far

The return of the monsoon this year could begin between September 24-26, a week later than the scheduled date of the monsoon calendar, September 17. The return of monsoon from Pokhran, Bikaner, Churu and Barmer in western Rajasthan will begin next week. This is the 11th and last low pressure area of ​​the monsoon in the Bay of Bengal on Sunday, which will extend from East India to West India till September 23. This was preceded by a low pressure area on 13 September, followed by five lows on August 1, two highs in July, and one low-pressure area except for a natural hurricane in June. After becoming a low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal, it became part of Odisha and West Bengal. Beyond Bengal, it passes through Gujarat, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh or Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan with light to heavy rains with clouds.

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Kuldeep Srivastava, a meteorologist with the Meteorological Department, says the announcement of the return of the monsoon at any place should be met on two conditions. The pattern of the first wind changes, i.e. about one and a half km from the surface. Elevation creates anti-cyclonic circulation (per cyclone), with westerly winds blowing and no rain for the last five days. According to meteorologist Anand Kumar, the easterly winds bring moisture to the Bay of Bengal. If there is evidence in the satellite images that the air has run out of moisture, then the return of the monsoon is considered to have begun.

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Monsoon scientist DS Pai says the monsoon is likely to return to western Rajasthan between September 24-26. According to the monsoon calendar, the monsoon returned to areas of western Rajasthan on December 1 last year. That date is set for September 17, 16 days ahead of the monsoon pattern from 1971 to 2019, but it is likely to be about a week late in the first year. Last year the monsoon began to return historically at its earliest on October 9th. The return of the monsoon began on October 1, 1961 and September 30, 2007.


On the other hand, the meteorological department had issued red alerts in eight districts in Kerala after heavy rains on Sunday. It also forecasts heavy rains and hail in several districts of Tamil Nadu, Odisha, and Uttarakhand.


Monsoon conditions in the country till September 20

Normal rainfall in the country is 834 mm, actual rainfall is 890 mm. That is 7% more ...

Read in Gujarati news 

Gujarat +58

Maharashtra +15

Bihar +14

Rajasthan +8

Chhattisgarh +7

Madhya Pradesh +3

Punjab -12%

Haryana -12%

Jharkhand -16%

Delhi-18%

Uttarakhand -19%

Himachal Pradesh -23%

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